Prediksi Kemunculan Titik Panas (Hotspot) Menggunakan Metode Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan Propagasi Balik Studi Kasus di Pontianak
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.26418/pf.v3i3.13188Abstract
Telah dilakukan penelitian untuk memprediksi kemunculan titik panas (hotspot) menggunakan metode jaringan syaraf tiruan propagasi balik. Data yang digunakan adalah penyinaran matahari, kecepatan dan arah angin serta curah hujan di Kota Pontianak. Data yang digunakan tahun 2004 sampai 2013 dengan skala data bulanan. Parameter tersebut merupakan faktor-faktor penyebab timbulnya titik panas. Jaringan syaraf tiruan yang digunakan adalah propagasi balik dengan arsitektur [10 2 1]. Nilai koefisien korelasi antara keluaran dan target pada saat pelatihan adalah 0,94, sedangkan pada saat pengujian nilai koefisien korelasi antara keluaran dan data target adalah 0,92. Hasil prediksi kejadian kabut asap untuk bulan Januari sampai Desember 2014 memiliki keakuratan prediksi sebesar 66,7%.
Kata kunci : jaringan syaraf tiruan, propagasi balik, titik panas
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Date: 24-05-2023
Prisma Fisika
Email: prismafisika@physics.untan.ac.id
