Pemodelan Kebutuhan Daya Listrik Di PT. PLN (Persero) Area Pontianak dengan Menggunakan Metode Gauss-Newton

Authors

  • Mei Sari Soleha Program Studi Fisika Jurusan Fisika FMIPA Universitas Tanjungpura
  • Joko Sampurno Program Studi Fisika Jurusan Fisika FMIPA Universitas Tanjungpura
  • Boni Pahlanop Lapanporo Program Studi Fisika Jurusan Fisika FMIPA Universitas Tanjungpura

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26418/pf.v3i3.13323

Abstract

Telah dilakukan penelitian mengenai pemodelan kebutuhan daya listrik di PT. PLN (Persero) Area Pontianak. Pemodelan ini menggunakan metode Gauss- Newton. Konsumen daya listrik tersambung ini dibagi menjadi 5 jenis, yaitu jenis pelanggan sosial, jenis pelanggan rumah tangga, jenis pelanggan bisnis, jenis pelanggan industri, dan jenis pelanggan pemerintahan. Fungsi persamaan matematika untuk kelima jenis pelanggan yang telah didapatkan dari hasil pemodelan yaitu; Eksponensial Orde 1; Polinomial Orde 4; Polinomial Orde 7; Polinomial Orde 2 dan Polinomial Orde 6. Dengan nilai koefisien korelasi hasil validasi masing-masing yaitu; 0,81; 0,80; 0,92; 0,89 dan 0,93. Sedangkan nilai RMSE untuk kelima jenis pelanggan    konsumen      tersebut        yaitu   :  6,85 × 105 ; 3,05 × 105 ; 1,06 × 107 ; 2,38 × 105 dan  3,55 × 105 . Hasil prediksi di tahun 2015 hingga tahun 2017 menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan jumlah daya listrik tersambung yang paling tinggi adalah konsumen dari pelanggan bisnis dengan rata-rata laju pertumbuhan sebesar 136,5 % per tahun.

 

Kata Kunci: Pemodelan, Gauss-Newton, Daya listrik Tersambung, PT. PLN (Persero) Area Pontianak

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Published

2015-11-14

Issue

Vol. 3 No. 3 (2015)

Section

Articles

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Date: 24-05-2023

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